Objective Two: Resources for the future: transitions to older age


New knowledge on profiles of New Zealand’s future older population is generated aiding fiscal and social policy making. The objective responds to KKQ1, 2 and 5 by identifying and examining processes associated with transitions to older age and variations according to cultural (including Maori), socio-economic, and gender backgrounds using a sample survey of New Zealanders aged 40 to 64. Stochastic projections and micro-simulations provide detailed assessments of demographic and socio-economic trajectories up to 2051 showing age, gender, cultural, familial and spatial variations. Qualitative approaches, including focus groups and in-depth interviews, are used with selected survey participants.

Key Knowledge Questions

  1. Describing and monitoring variation in social outcomes.
  2. Understanding the multiple causes of variation in social outcomes.
  3. Monitoring key causal factors.
  4. Analysing what works to change variation in social outcomes: design, delivery and impact of policy.
  5. Anticipating the likely impact of future social, socio-demographic and technological trends on social outcomes.